Ø  水文模拟不确定性定量分析与控制

Ø  大尺度流域水文模拟（基于物理机制的水文模型；基于卫星遥感数据驱动）

Ø  流域尺度地形演化与河道变迁模拟

Ø  耦合地下水过程的干旱评估

Ø  水文统计学（本科）

Ø  地下水动力学（本科）

Ø  地下水流数值模拟（研究生）

Ø  地下水运移模型（研究生）

Ø  国家级一流本科课程-虚拟仿真实验教学一流课程：《地下水中污染物运移过程虚拟仿真实验教学》教学团队骨干

Ø  国家级一流本科课程-线下一流课程：《地下水动力学》教学团队骨干

Ø  南京大学“百层次”优质课程：《地下水动力学》教学团队骨干

Ø  江苏省一流本科课程-虚拟仿真实验教学一流课程：《地下水污染修复的多目标优化设计虚拟仿真实验》教学团队骨干

【在研】

[1] 场地未定标特征污染物的多介质迁移模型研究，国家重点研发计划子课题，2022-2026，主持

[2] 基于数据驱动的大尺度流域地下水循环过程研究，国家自然科学基金面上项目，2025-2028，主持

[3] 强渗透地层优势通道高精度识别，国家重点研发计划课题，2024-2028，主持

[4] 地表水-地下水氮磷输出通量与交互效应研究，云南省重点研发计划子课题，2025-2028，主持。

【结题】

[1] 地下水流数值模拟概念模型的不确定性分析，国家自然科学基金青年项目，2014-2016，主持

[2] 基于水环境承载力的水生态空间保护与管控研究，环境保护部南京环境科学研究所协作项目，2018-2019，主持

[3] 江苏省地下水监测粘网优化布设，江苏省水利厅协作项目，2018-2019，主持

[4] 生活、生态环境用水量统计与核算方法改进，南京水利科学研究院协作项目，2019-2020，主持

[5] 干旱区地下水系统中典型有机物运移机理及其污染风险评价研究，国家自然科学基金联合重点项目，2016-2019，参与

[6] 长三角山丘区降雨特性分析和水文预报方法研究，国家重点研发计划课题，2016- 2019，参与

[7] 分数阶非饱和地下水运动方程及其适用性研究，国家自然科学基金面上项目，2017-2020，参与

[8] 黄渤海不同类型海岸带海水入侵发展演化规律，国家重点研发计划课题，2016-2021，参与

[9] 各省市生活、生态环境用水量上报数据复核，南京水利科学研究院协作项目，2020-2021，主持

[10] 江苏省地下水资源承载能力监测预警技术，江苏省水利科技项目，2021-2022，主持

[11] 场地土壤-水污染多介质多过程耦合机制与时空演化模型，国家重点研发计划课题，2020-2024，主持

[12] 基于数据驱动的地下水模型结构不确定性定量分析，国家自然科学基金面上项目，2021-2024，主持

[13] 污染场地风险管控与修复技术多尺度效果评价方法研究，江苏省重点研发计划课题，2021-2024，主持

一、代表性论文（通讯作者*）

2026

Haoxin Hu, Xiankui Zeng*, Jichun Wu, Dong Wang. Prior weight dilution in Bayesian model averaging for groundwater modeling. Journal of Hydrology. 2026, 666: 134803.

2025

Xiaohan Yu, Xiankui Zeng*, Brocca, Luca, Dongwei Gui, Dong Wang, Jichun Wu. Acopula‐based composite drought index for enhanced drought monitoring and analysis. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 2025,130, e2024JD041867.

Runzepu Hou, Xiankui Zeng*, Dong Wang, Jichun Wu. Evaluating Spatial downscaling surrogate models for landscape evolution simulations in the Tarim river basin, China. Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment, 2025, https://doi.org/10.1007/s00477-025-02980-8

Danhong Chen, Xiankui Zeng*, Dongwei Gui, Dong Wang, Jichun Wu. Quantifying the hydrological processes in the Tarim River Basin, China, using a coupled groundwater/surface water model. Hydrogeology Journal, 2025, 33: 1637-1661.

陈子昂, 曾献奎*, 吴吉春. 基于水均衡分析与记忆曲线模型估算流域地下水径流量. 高校地质学报，2025, 31(1): 113-122

2024

Xiaobin Zhu, Guiyao Xiong, Huijun Nie, Aihua Miao, Guangwen Yu, Yue Wang, Xiankui Zeng, Kouping Chen, Jianfeng Wu, Jichun Wu. Patterns of electrical properties change of heavy metal-organic compound contaminated media in soil-groundwater systems: From laboratory experiments to site application. Science of The Total Environment. 2024, 945: 174126

Fang Wang, …, Xiankui Zeng, …, James M Tiedje. Emerging contaminants: A One Health perspective, Innovation, 2024, 5(4): 100612

吴奇辉, 曾献奎*, 吴吉春. 地形演化模型的参数敏感性分析：以库玛拉克河流域为例. 高校地质学报, 2024, 30(5): 585-592

王瑾彤，曾献奎*，吴吉春. 多孔介质中多环芳烃与细菌共运移数值模拟. 南水北调与水利科技（中英文）. 2024，22(1): 122-130

2023

Yue Pan, Xiankui Zeng*, Hongxia Xu, Yuanyuan Sun, Dong Wang, Jichun Wu. Use of stacked Gaussian processes regression method to improve prediction of groundwater solute transport model. Journal of Hydrology. 2023, 620, 129530.

Xiaohan Yu, Xiankui Zeng*, Dongwei Gui, Xiaolan Li, Qiqi Gou, Dong Wang, Jichun Wu. Projection of flash droughts in the headstream area of Tarim River Basin under climate change through Bayesian uncertainty analysis. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres. 2023, 128: e2022JD037634.

Guiyao Xiong, Xiaobin Zhu, Jichun Wu, Mengwen Liu, Yun Yang, Xiankui Zeng. Seawater intrusion alters nitrogen cycling patterns through hydrodynamic behavior and biochemical reactions: Based on Bayesian isotope mixing model and microbial functional network. Science of The Total Environment, 2023, 867:161368.

李小兰, 曾献奎^*, 王栋, 吴吉春. 基于优化-自适应稀疏网格替代模型的地下水模拟参数不确定性分析. 吉林大学学报（地球科学版）.2023, 52(4): 1234-1243.

2022

Yue Pan, Xiankui Zeng^*, Xinyu Gao, Hongxia Xu, Yuanyuan Sun, Dong Wang, Jichun Wu. Assessing human health risk to DNAPLs exposure in Bayesian uncertainty analysis. Journal of Environmental Informatics. 2022, 39(1):67-80.

Haoxin Hu, Xiankui Zeng^*, Xing Cai, Dongwei Gui, Jichun Wu, Dong Wang. Evaluating the downscaling uncertainty of hydrometeorological data in snowmelt runoff simulation. Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment. 2022, 36: 2617–2632.

Xiaoli Wu, Bin Gao, Xueyan Lyu, Xiankui Zeng, Jichun Wu, Yuanyuan Sun. Insight into the mechanism of phosphate and cadmium co-transport in natural soils. Journal of Hazardous Materials, 2022, 435: 129095.

Kaixuan Li, Jichun Wu, Tongchao Nan, Xiankui Zeng, Lihe Yin,  Jun Zhang. Analysis of heterogeneity in a sedimentary aquifer using Generalized sub-Gaussian model based on logging resistivity. Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment. 2022, 36: 767–783.

陈丹红, 曾献奎^*, 吴吉春, 桂东伟, 孙媛媛. 基于GRACE和GLDAS的塔里木河流域地下水储量演变规律研究. 高校地质学报. 2022, 28(6): 894-901.

2021

Xiaozhuo Sun, Xiankui Zeng^*, Jichun Wu, and Dong Wang. A Two-stage bayesian data-driven method to improve model prediction. Water Resources Research. 2021, 57, e2021WR030436. https://doi.org/10.1029/2021WR030436.

Yue Pan, Xiankui Zeng^*, Hongxia Xu, Yuanyuan Sun, Dong Wang, Jichun Wu. Evaluation of Gaussian process regression kernel functions for improving groundwater prediction.Journal of Hydrology. 2021, 603: 126960.

Wenyi Xie, Xiankui Zeng^*, Dongwei Gui, Jichun Wu, Dong Wang. Modeling the snowmelt runoff process of the Tizinafu River basin, northwest China with GLDAS data and Bayesian uncertainty analysis. Journal of Hydrometeorology. 2021, 22(1): 169–182.

Xiaoli Wu, Xiankui Zeng, Xueyan Lyu^*, Bin Gao, Yuanyuan Sun, Jichun Wu. Combined effects of Fe/Al oxyhydroxide coating and pH on polystyrene nanoplastic transport in saturated sand media. Water Air and Soil Pollution. 2021. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11270-021-05469-6.

Kaixuan Li, Jichun Wu, Tongchao Nan^*, Xiankui Zeng, Lihe Yin, Jun Zhang. Analysis of heterogeneity in a sedimentary aquifer using Generalized sub-Gaussian model based on logging resistivity. Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment. 2021. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00477-021-02054-5.

孙晓卓, 曾献奎^*, 吴吉春, 孙媛媛. 一种改进的地下水模型结构不确定性分析方法.水文地质工程地质, 2021, 48(6): 24-32.

2020

Yue Pan, Xiankui Zeng*, Hongxia Xu, Yuanyuan Sun, Dong Wang, Jichun Wu. Assessing human health risk of groundwater DNAPL contamination by quantifying the model structure uncertainty. Journal of Hydrology. 2020, 584: 124690.

Jin Liu, Xiankui Zeng*, Enze Ma*, Jichun Wu, You-Kuan Zhang, Yuanyuan Sun, Xiuyu Liang, Chunmiao Zheng. On the nanoparticle transport and release in layered heterogeneous porous media under transient chemical conditions. Journal of Hydrology. 2020, 586:124889.

Wenyue Liu, Dong Wang*, Vijay P Singh, Yuankun Wang*, Xiankui Zeng, Lingling Ni, Yuwei Tao, Jichun Wu, Jiufu Liu, Ying Zou, Ruimin He, Jianyun Zhang. A hybrid statistical model for ecological risk integral assessment of PAHs in sediments. Journal of Hydrology. 2020, 583:124612.

Xiaoli Wu, Xueyan Lyu, Zhengyu Li, Bin Gao, Xiankui Zeng, Jichun Wu, Yuanyuan Sun*. Transport of polystyrene nanoplastics in natural soils: Effect of soil properties, ionic strength and cation type. Science of the Total Environment. 2020, 707:136065

Tongchao Nan^⁎, Jichun Wu^⁎, Alberto Guadagninib, Xiankui Zeng, Xiuyu Liang. Random walk evaluation of Green’s functions for groundwater flow in heterogeneous aquifers. Journal of Hydrology. 2020, 588: 125029

Wenyue Liu, Dong Wang^∗, Yuankun Wang^∗, Xiankui Zeng, Lingling Ni, Yuwei Tao, Jichun Wu, Jiufu Liu, Ying Zou, Ruimin He, Jianyun Zhang. Improved comprehensive ecological risk assessment method and sensitivity analysis of polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons (PAHs). Environmental Research. 2020, 187: 109500.

高鑫宇, 曾献奎^*, 吴吉春. 基于改进稀疏网格替代模拟的地下水DNAPLs运移不确定性分析. 水文地质工程地质, 2020, 47(1): 1-10.

贺新月, 曾献奎^*, 王栋. 融合AR模型和MCMC方法的水文模拟不确定性分析. 河海大学学报(自然科学版), 2020, 48(2): 116-122.

贺新月, 曾献奎^*, 王栋. 融合极值分布与MCMC的降水极值模拟研究. 水力发电学报, 2020, 39(11): 49-58.

2019

Tongtong Cao, Xiankui Zeng^*, Jichun Wu, Dong Wang, Yuanyuan Sun, Xiaobin Zhu, Jin Lin, Yuqiao Long. Groundwater contaminant source identification via Bayesian model selection and uncertainty quantification. Hydrogeology Journal. 2019, 27:2907–2918.

Wenyi Xie, Xiankui Zeng^*, Shuang Zhang, Jichun Wu, Dong Wang Xiaobin Zhu. Bayesian evaluation of meteorological datasets for modeling snowmelt runoff in Tizinafu watershed in Western China. Theoretical and Applied Climatology. 2019, 138(3-4): 1991-2006.

Kaihua Liao, Xiaoming Lai, Zhiwen Zhou, Xiankui Zeng, Wenyi Xie, Michael J. Castellano, Qing Zhu. Whether the rock fragment content should be considered when investigating nitrogen cycle in stony soils? Journal of Geophysical Research: Biogeosciences. 2019, 124(3): 521–536.

Kaixuan Li, Tongchao Nan, Xiankui Zeng, Lihe Yin, Jichun Wu, Jun Zhang. Depth-dependent relation between hydraulic conductivity and electrical resistivity in geologic formations. Journal of Hydrology. 2019, 578: 124081. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2019.124081

钟乐乐，曾献奎^*，吴吉春. 基于高斯过程回归的地下水模型结构不确定性分析与控制.水文地质工程地质.2019, 46(1): 1-10.

张爽，曾献奎^*，吴吉春. 提孜那甫河流域融雪径流模拟及不确定性分析. 吉林大学学报（地球科学版）.2019, 49(4): 1415-1424.

2018

Xiankui Zeng, Ming Ye, Jichun Wu, Dong Wang, Xiaobin Zhu. Improved nested sampling and surrogate-enabled comparison with other marginal likelihood estimators. Water Resources Research. 2018, 54:797–826.

Xiankui Zeng, Jian Dong, Dong Wang, Jichun Wu, Dong Wang, Xiaobin Zhu, Shaohui Xu, Xilai Zheng, Jia Xin. Identifying key factors of the seawater intrusion model of Dagu river basin, Jiaozhou Bay. Environmental Research. 2018, 165: 425-430.

Tongtong Cao, Xiankui Zeng^*, Jichun Wu, Dong Wang, Yuanyuan Sun, Xiaobin Zhu, Jin Lin, Yuqiao Long. Integrating MT-DREAMzs and nested sampling algorithms to estimate marginal likelihood and comparison with several other methods. Journal of Hydrology. 2018, 563: 750-765.

Jin Liu, Xiankui Zeng*, Jichun Wu, Xiuyu Liang,Yuanyuan Sun, Hongbin Zhan. Assessing titanium dioxide nanoparticles transport models by Bayesian uncertainty analysis. Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment. 2018, 32: 3365-3379.

Xiaobin Zhu, Jichun Wu, Huijun Nie, Fei Guo, Jianfeng Wu, Kouping Chen, Penghui Liao, Hongxia Xu, Xiankui Zeng. Quantitative assessment of the impact of an inter-basin surface-water transfer project on the groundwater flow and groundwater-dependent eco-environment in an oasis in arid northwestern China. Hydrogeology Journal. 2018, 26(5): 1475-1485.

Dong Wang, Alistair G. Borthwick, Handan He, Yuankun Wang, Jieyu Zhu, Yuan Lu, Pengcheng Xu, Xiankui Zeng, Jichun Wu, Lachun Wang, Xinqing Zou, Jiufu Liu, Ying Zou, Ruimin He. A hybrid wavelet de-noising and Rank-Set Pair Analysis approach for forecasting hydro-meteorological time series,Environmental Research, 2018, 160: 269-281.

董健，曾献奎*，吴吉春. 不同类型海岸带海水入侵数值模拟研究进展. 高校地质学报, 2018, 24(3): 442-449.

高鑫宇, 曾献奎*, 吴吉春, 等. 兰州窦家山典型坡面土壤水分、有机质含量及抗蚀性相关关系研究. 南京大学学报（自然科学）, 2018, 54(1): 185-195.

2017

曹彤彤, 曾献奎^*, 吴吉春.嵌套抽样算法用于地下水模型评价的算例研究.水文地质工程地质. 2017, 44(2):69-76.

潘玥, 刘勇, 曾献奎, 吴吉春. 徐州东部废弃矿井地下水流场演化模拟初探. 水文地质工程地质. 2017, 44(2):52-56.

2016

Xiankui Zeng, Jichun Wu, Dong Wang, Xiaobin Zhu. Assessing Bayesian model averaging uncertainty of groundwater modeling based on information entropy method. Journal of hydrology. 2016, 538: 689 - 704.

Xiankui Zeng, Ming Ye, John Burkardt, Jichun Wu, Dong Wang, Xiaobin Zhu.   Evaluating two sparse grid surrogates and two adaptation criteria for groundwater Bayesian uncertainty quantification. Journal of hydrology. 2016, 535: 120 - 134.

Xiankui Zeng, Jichun Wu, Dong Wang, Xiaobin Zhu. Assessing the pollution risk of a groundwater source field at western Laizhou Bay under seawater intrusion. Environmental Research. 2016, 148: 586 - 594.

Dong Wang, Debiao Zeng, Vijay P. Singh, Pengcheng Xu, Dengfeng Liu, Yuankun Wang, Xiankui Zeng, Jichun Wu, Lachun Wang. A multidimension cloud model-based approach for water quality assessment. Environmental Research. 2016, 149: 113 - 121.

Dong Wang, Dengfeng Liu, Hao Ding, Vijay Singh, Yuankun Wang, Xiankui Zeng, Jichun Wu, Lachun, Wang. A cloud model-based approach for water quality assessment. Environmental Research. 2016, 148: 24 - 35.

Mei Hong, Dong Wang, Yuankun Wang, Xiankui Zeng, Shanshan Ge, Hengqian Yan. Mid- and long-term runoff predictions by an improved phase-space reconstruction model. Environmental Research. 2016, 148: 560 - 573.

Peigui Liu, Ahmed S. Elshall, Ming Ye, Peter Beerli, Xiankui Zeng, Dan Lu, Yuezan Tao. Evaluating marginal likelihood with thermodynamic integration method and comparison with several other numerical methods. Water Resources Research. 2016, 52: WR016718.

Dengfeng Liu, Dong Wang, Yuankun Wang, Jichun Wu, Vijay Singh, Xiankui Zeng, Lachun Wang, Yuanfang Chen, Xi Chen, Liyuan Zhang, Shenghua Gu. Entropy of hydrological systems under small samples: Uncertainty and variability. Journal of hydrology. 2016, 532: 163 - 176.

曹彤彤, 曾献奎*, 吴吉春，卢文喜. 基于伴随状态方法的地下水污染源识别研究, 高校地质学报,2016, 22(3): 563-571.

2015

Xiankui Zeng, Dong Wang, Jichun Wu, Xiaobin Zhu, Lachun Wang. Uncertainty Evaluation of a Groundwater Conceptual Model by Multimodel Averaging Method. Human and Ecological Risk Assessment. 2015, 21(5): 1246-1258.

Dong Wang, Hao Ding, Vijay P. Singh, Xiaosan Shang, Dengfeng Liu, Yuankun Wang, Xiankui Zeng, Jichun Wu, Lachun Wang. A hybrid wavelet analysis–cloud model data-extending approach for meteorologic and hydrologic time series. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres. 2015, 120: 4057–4071.

Xiankui Zeng, Ming Ye, Jichun Wu. Evaluating two sparse grid surrogates for Bayesian uncertainty quantification. World Environmental and Water Resources Congress, 2015

Xiankui Zeng, Dong Wang, Jichun Wu. Evaluating the three methods of goodness of fit test for frequency analysis. Journal of Risk Analysis and Crisis Response. 2015, 5(3): 178-187.

2014

Xiankui Zeng, Jichun Wu, Dong Wang, Xiaobin Zhu. The characteristics of probability distribution of groundwater model output based on sensitivity analysis. Journal of Hydroinformatics. 2014, 16(1): 130-143.

2013

Xiankui Zeng, Dong Wang, Jichun Wu, Xi Chen. Reliability analysis of the groundwater conceptual model. Human and Ecological Risk Assessment. 2013, 19(2): 515-525.

Jichun Wu, Xiankui Zeng. Review of the uncertainty analysis of groundwater numerical simulation. Chinese science bulletin. 2013, 58(25): 3044-3052.

Xiankui Zeng, Dong Wang, Jichun Wu, Xiaobin Zhu, Lachun Wang. Uncertainty evaluation of groundwater modeling based on multimodel method. Intelligent Systems and Decision Making for Risk Analysis and Crisis, 2013.

2012

Xiankui Zeng, Dong Wang, Jichun Wu. Sensitivity analysis of the probability distribution of groundwater level series based on information entropy. Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment, 2012, 26(3): 345-356.

二、专著

[1] 王栋，吴吉春，王远坤，桑燕芳，曾献奎，尚晓三，童心，丁昊.《信息熵理论在水系统中的研究与应用》，中国水利水电出版社，2012.

[2] 吴吉春，曾献奎.《废弃矿井地下水污染数值模拟》，中国水利水电出版社，2015.

[3] 王栋，吴吉春，王远坤，曾献奎，童心，丁昊，刘登峰，曾德彪，朱洁羽，姜丽丽. 《云模型与Copula函数等不确定性分析理论在水系统中的研究与应用》，中国水利水电出版社，2016.

[4] 吴吉春，曾献奎，祝晓彬.《地下水数值模拟基础》，中国水利水电出版社，2017.

[5] 吴吉春，曾献奎.《黄渤海不同类型海岸带海水入侵数值模拟研究》，科学出版社，2020.

[6] 王栋, 吴吉春, 吴剑锋, 王远坤, 曾献奎, 徐鹏程, 李禾澍. 王文琪, 刘登峰.不确定性分析方法在水文站网优化中的研究与应用, 中国水利水电出版社，2022.

[7] 王栋, 曾献奎, 吴吉春. 向地球深部进军, 南京大学出版社, 2025.

三、授权专利、软著

[1] 一种基于AM嵌套抽样算法的地下水模型评价方法, 曾献奎, 吴吉春, 曹彤彤, 王栋. 2020-06-16, ZL201710008901.9

[2] 一种地下水模型输出不确定性分析方法, 王栋, 吴吉春, 曾献奎. 2015-05-20, ZL201110306927.4

[3] 一种考虑径流预测的多目标雨量站网设计方法, 王栋, 王文琪, 王远坤, 曾献奎. 2022-12-27, ZL201910890913.8

[4] 基于过程模拟及不确定性分析的污染物健康风险评价方法, 潘玥, 吴吉春, 徐红霞, 曾献奎. 2022-06-07, ZL201810750275.5

[5] 基于多孔介质几何形状估计渗透率的网格随机游走方法, 南统超, 吴吉春, 蒋建国, 曾献奎, 王远坤. 2023-02-14, ZL20181113548

[6] 复杂条件下地下水流数值模拟软件[简称：GFNS_CC] V1.0，南京大学，2022-04-10, 2022SR0824318

[7] 复杂条件下地下水溶质运移数值模拟软件[简称：GSTNS_CC] V1.0，南京大学，2022-04-15, 2022SR0824319

[1] 基于熵理论和云模型的水文模拟及其应用，教育部科技进步一等奖，2015，排名4/9.

[2] 废弃矿井地下水污染风险评价与控制技术，中国煤炭工业科学技术二等奖，2020，排名5/9.

[3] 滨海地下水精细化模拟与管控关键技术及应用，大禹水利科学技术二等奖，2022，排名9/12.

[4] 黄海沿海典型区海水入侵综合防治技术研究与应用示范，山东省海洋科技创新二等奖，2022，排名2/10.

[5] 鄂尔多斯高原地下水循环与生态效应，自然资源科学技术二等奖，2023，排名10/10.

[6] 向地球深部进军，江苏省优秀科普作品成果三等奖，2025，排名2/3.